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About the displacement of the US Congress to the Republicans

by marusia

The change in the population of US states threatens to strengthen the Republicans in Congress if the current dynamics continue.

Democratic California and New York risk reducing the number of congressmen, Texas and Florida, on the contrary, increase

Bloomberg: Democrats will lose seats in the US Congress due to population growth in Texas and Idaho.

The distribution of seats in the US Congress will shift significantly towards the traditionally “red” Republican states by 2030, if current demographic trends continue. Bloomberg writes about this with reference to the latest estimates of the population of the states made by the government of the country.

Intra-US population migration, which has been heavily impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, may have a more lasting impact on Congress than it appears, the agency said. These trends have the potential for unexpected growth, said Kimball Brace, head of Election Data Services, a census policy analysis firm. At the same time, he urged caution in predicting the situation based on these data.

If we recalculate seats in Congress in 2022, then the number of congressmen from Florida would increase to 29 seats in the House of Representatives (now 28), Arizona and Idaho would add seats (now one and nine), and representatives from Texas would become 39 ( now 38). Texas has already added two seats since recalculating seats, based on data from the last census in 2020.

California would lose one seat (now 52). In 2022, it already lost a seat for one congressman – the first time since 1849, when it became an American state. Illinois (from 17 to 16), Minnesota (from eight to seven) and New York (from 26 to 25) will also lose one place.

In early November, mid-term elections were held in the United States, as a result of which the Republicans took 218 seats in the House of Representatives, forming a majority, the Democrats retained control of the Senate.

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